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EUROPE & CANADA


KEY RISK CONSIDERATIONS

  • Climate & Natural Disasters – Widespread Wildfires in Spain and France
  • Border Movement – EES System Delays and Border Tensions
  • Terrorism – Berlin Pride Attack Amid an Elevated Threat Environment

CLIMATE & NATURAL DISASTERS


Overview

In July, Europe experienced one of its most severe wildfire emergencies in recent years, with major fires affecting France and Spain. In France, roughly 220,000 residents fled the Gironde department as fires spread through Gironde and Landes, while in Spain, more than 63,000 evacuated the Madrid, Toledo, and Ávila areas. The wildfires prompted large-scale emergency responses and destroyed numerous homes and businesses as authorities struggled to contain multiple fires amid prolonged heatwaves and drought conditions.

The wildfires disrupted transportation networks, tourism activity, and local infrastructure. Evacuations impacted residents and tourists alike, while attraction closures, poor air quality, and disruptions to rail and air travel are expected to continue if the ongoing heatwave and resulting fires persist. With high temperatures and dry conditions forecast through August, wildfire risks and associated travel disruptions are likely to remain elevated across southern Europe and the Iberian Peninsula.

Travel Guidance

  • Avoid nonessential travel to active wildfire zones in southwestern France and central Spain.
  • Monitor local wildfire advisories and emergency notifications before traveling to the region and follow all evacuation orders.
  • Build flexibility into travel plans, particularly in France, Spain, Portugal, and other wildfire-prone destinations, as transportation and accommodations in affected regions may face disruptions.

BORDER MOVEMENT


Overview

The European Union’s Entry/Exit System (EES), fully in effect since April 10, continues to cause major delays for non-EU travelers, with several transportation hubs reporting prolonged wait times in July. The system’s biometric registration requirement has nearly tripled processing times at some airports, with isolated reports of queues nearing five hours at Zurich, Brussels, and some Spanish airports.

Separately, in late July, a mass crossing at Ceuta, Spain’s territory bordering Morocco, saw tens of thousands of migrants attempt to enter Spain over a two-day period. In response, Spain deployed military personnel to support local law enforcement in Ceuta and declared a humanitarian emergency. Italy also announced temporary restrictions on some arrivals from Spain and France, and increased checks at several border crossings.

Together, these developments point to the compounding friction at Europe’s borders this summer, both at external EU entry points and increasingly between member states themselves. With August marking the height of Europe’s holiday season, congestion is likely to worsen, particularly at hubs in Spain, Portugal, and Italy, and could compound further if wildfire and heatwave strain pulls emergency staff and resources elsewhere. Travelers should expect continued EES-related delays at major airports, alongside the possibility of new or reinstated border checks between Spain, Italy, and France if broader migration pressures continue.

Travel Guidance

  • Arrive well ahead of scheduled departures, particularly at high-traffic airports in Spain, Portugal, and Italy. Check airport-specific wait-time advisories before departure.
  • Allow additional time when connecting through major European airports in the Schengen zone.
  • Ensure travel documents are valid and readily accessible before arrival at border crossings.

TERRORISM


Overview

In late July, a vehicle-ramming attack targeted Berlin’s Pride celebration, killing and injuring several attendees in a suspected Islamist-motivated terrorist act. Separately, the Iran war has fueled a distinct terrorism threat across Europe; a pro-Iran group tied to the IRGC claimed roughly 20 attacks on Jewish, American, and Israeli-linked targets since March, and Germany indicted several Iran-backed operatives for allegedly plotting to assassinate Jewish community leaders. The UK designated the IRGC a terrorist organization in July, and Belgium and Italy have deployed soldiers to protect Jewish sites.

The combination of high-profile public events, ongoing geopolitical tensions, and persistent extremist activity has prompted increased security measures across major European cities. While attacks remain relatively infrequent, authorities continue to assess that crowded places, public events, transportation hubs, and symbolic locations remain potential targets, increasing the likelihood of visible security deployments and temporary disruptions.

Travel Guidance

  • Remain vigilant in crowded public spaces, including transportation hubs, tourist attractions, shopping districts, and at major events.
  • Expect an increased security presence at public gatherings, cultural events, and government facilities.
  • Follow instructions from security personnel and local authorities during security incidents or heightened alert periods. Report suspicious activity to local authorities when appropriate.
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